November 24, 2025

Predictive heat-pump control cuts heating electricity costs by 11%—CSEM’S OPERA Project shows the way

A CSEM-led demonstration has shown that predictive control of heat pumps (HPs) can reduce 11% of heating electricity costs—without any loss of comfort. The results come from OPERA, a pilot on a renovated 20-apartment block in Neuchâtel equipped with PV and three heat pumps and point to a practical path for decarbonizing Switzerland’s largest—and often most challenging—segment of collective housing.

Building in Neuchâtel part of OPERA project
© CSEM - Building in Neuchâtel part of OPERA project
graphics showing impact of OPERA project on heating costs
© CSEM -

How OPERA cuts costs. Compared to baseline, OPERA shifts consumption away from high-tariff periods and slightly boosts solar use—delivering 11.5% savings.

The result: 11.5% lower electricity costs for HPs—comfort preserved

With OPERA control, the unit cost of electricity for the HPs fell by 11.5%, driven primarily by tariff-aware shifting—using thermal storage in the building to run more during low-tariff windows. Importantly, total HP electricity consumption did not increase, and no comfort complaints were recorded during the measurement campaign.

A notable insight: while OPERA raised PV self-consumption from ~70% to ~78% in winter (October–February), that change alone only reduced costs by ≈1–2% because PV could cover just ~13% of the building’s consumption in that period. The bulk of the savings came from time-of-use optimization, not self-consumption increases—a crucial takeaway for multi-apartment retrofits.

Key takeaway: In large residential buildings, the winning lever is integrated, predictive energy management that respects HP efficiency and actively shifts loads to cheaper tariff periods.